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MIDWINTER PESSIMISM ABOUT THE PLANET'S FUTURE

By: Jim Taylor



Perhaps it's the shortening hours of sunlight as we approach the winter solstice. Or the on-rushing panic of Christmas shopping. Or just the typical Okanagan Valley winter, with overcast skies crushing feelings of optimism.
           Whatever it is, I find myself hoping there is no eternity.
           As I have written before, my notions about eternity -- life, in any format, after earthly death -- have evolved over the years.
           When my mother died, in 1972, I was convinced that she had merely moved on to another dimension. To paraphrase John's gospel, I believed that she had "gone before us, to prepare a place for us."
           When my son died, in 1983, I was less confident. I would have hurled myself down the stairwell in the hospital, if I thought that sacrificing my life would save his. But I wasn't really sure. And if it didn't save his life, I would leave Joan with two tragedies instead of one.
           Before my father died, in 1998, I asked him what songs and readings he wanted at his memorial service. "I don't care," he replied. "I won't be there."
           I had not expected that reply. He had spent his life as a missionary, a minister, a theologian. He had two earned doctorates, and three honorary ones. I expected him to be quite confident of whatever lay ahead.
           Not that he rejected the possibility of a continuing existence. Because he later asked me to scatter his ashes on his favourite fishing river.

EMPIRICAL EFFECTS
           Personally, I'm willing to suspend both belief and disbelief in life after death, until it happens. But I have a sinking feeling that if there is an eternal life, my generation may not enjoy it.
           Because we may spend eternity regretting what we have done, and are doing, to the earth.
           Global warming is no longer a scientific theory. It's an empirical fact. What remains unclear is whether rising temperatures are a short-term blip or a long-term trend.
           Similarly, the proportion of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere is empirically testable. Prior to 1750, the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere had not risen above 280 parts per million in 400,000 years. Since 1750, it has climbed exponentially from 280 parts per million to 350.
           The increases in methane and nitrous oxide follow precisely the same curve -- now rising more and more steeply.
           There's little doubt about the cause. It began with the industrial revolution. In the past, greenhouse gases may have come from natural sources, such as volcanoes. Today, the emissions correspond directly to human use of fossil fuels in industries, homes, and cars.
           There is, of course, no way of proving that greenhouse gases cause climate change. A few contrarians argue that Human Enhanced Water Evaporation offers a more plausible explanation.
Calgary engineer Bruce Peachey has published several papers on the effect of water vapour on climate.
           Despite the internal squabbling, however, both theories agree on two fundamental facts:
           First, climate change is happening.
           Second, human actions are the primary cause.

RUNAWAY CLIMATE CHANGE
           In An Inconvenient Truth, Al Gore says we have no more than ten years to reverse the onrushing disaster. A few more radical voices suggest we may already have passed the point of no return.
           That is, each climate change precipitates further changes, which cause more changes, like a runaway nuclear reaction that starts fueling itself.
           As the polar regions warm, for example, there's less ice and snow to reflect the sun's heat back out into space. More heat absorbed melts more permafrost. Melting permafrost turns into bogs, which release trapped methane from the anaerobic decomposition of ancient organic material. The additional methane increases the atmosphere's ability to trap heat. Which melts more Arctic ice.
           And the planet spirals towards becoming a giant convection oven, like its sister planet Venus.
           Global warming was once considered a crackpot idea. But so was continental drift, when Canadian geologist Tuzo Wilson advocated it in the 1960s. Today, climate change is accepted everywhere -- except, of course, among George Bush and his cronies, who don't believe anything unless it's backed up by a Bible verse.
           And it's my generation that has put the planet at risk. The exponential graph turns most steeply upward during my lifetime.
           My generation elected the governments who let it happen. My generation supplied the corporate executives who saw the world as an opportunity for profit, regardless of the consequences. My generation became the engineers who treated the planet as a vast septic tank to flush toxic wastes into.
           My generation did a lot of good. We brought in civil rights, banished polio and smallpox, and invented computers. But we stubbornly continue to buy gas-guzzling Hummers, fly in jet planes, and cut down forests.

LAST THOUGHTS

           So we blunder on, making things worse.
           That's the painful part. My generation thought that progress meant more toys. My generation saw belching smokestacks as a sign of success. My generation developed the economic theories that equated
GDP with human well-being.
           I don't want to spend eternity regretting about what we have done.
           The first time I ever recall thinking about eternity, I was a university student working in the Kootenays for the summer. A truck driver made a fatal mistake. He drove off a cliff, on the treacherous road between the Kootenay Lake Ferry and Creston, and plunged 200 feet into the lake.
           I remember thinking at the time that I would not want my last thought, echoing through eternity, to be, "Oh, shit!"
           If indeed we have passed the point of no return, if global warming progresses to the point of mass extinctions, if earth eventually becomes a planet hostile to life as we know it, I do not want to spend forever thinking, "Oh, shit!"
           Because we don't seem able to learn from our mistakes.
           That's why I hope there is no eternity.

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Copyright © 2006 by Jim Taylor. Non-profit use in congregations and study groups permitted; all other rights reserved.
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